Reckoning With Risk : histories and examples, this text...

Reckoning with Risk : risk? detailing case histories and

Reckoning with Risk presents readers with tools for understanding statistics. In so doing, it encourages...

Author : Gerd Gigerenzer

so doing, it encourages us to overcome our innumeracy and empowers us

Publisher : Penguin UK

innumeracy and empowers us to take responsibility for our own choices.

0140297863

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0140297863

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Reckoning With Risk : worrying case histories. by the end of it,...

Reckoning with Risk : relevant examples and worrying case histories. by the

Reckoning with Risk end of it, the reader has been presented with a powerful set of tools for understanding statistics...anyone...

Author : Gerd Gigerenzer

with a powerful set of tools for understanding statistics...anyone who wants to take responsibly for their own

Publisher : Penguin UK

statistics...anyone who wants to take responsibly for their own medicalchoices should read it" - New Scientist However

0141933089

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0141933089

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read it" - New Scientist However much we crave certainty, we live in an uncertain world. But

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Reckoning With Risk : modern science fiction, h.g. wells, predicted...

Reckoning with Risk : the father of modern science fiction,

Reckoning with Risk predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as...

Author : Gerd Gigerenzer

for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. Yet, a

Publisher :

ability to read and write. Yet, a century on, most of us, from TV weather

9780713995121

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9780713995121

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us, from TV weather forecasters to the American President, seem to have no idea of

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Risk Savvy : money, health and personal lives from gerd...

Risk Savvy : decisions with our money, health and personal

Risk Savvy from Gerd Gigerenzer, the author of Reckoning with Risk. Risk-taking is essential for innovation, fun, and the...

Author : Gerd Gigerenzer

Risk. Risk-taking is essential for innovation, fun, and the courage to face the uncertainties in life. Yet

Publisher : Penguin UK

the courage to face the uncertainties in life. Yet for many important decisions, we're often presented with

0141970111

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0141970111

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important decisions, we're often presented with statistics and probabilities that we don't really understand and we inevitably

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Calculated Risks : predicted that statistical thinking would be...

Calculated Risks : h. g. wells predicted that statistical

Calculated Risks be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. But...

Author : Gerd Gigerenzer

world as the ability to read and write. But in the twenty-first century, we are often overwhelmed

Publisher : Simon and Schuster

But in the twenty-first century, we are often overwhelmed by a baffling array of percentages and probabilities

0743254236

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0743254236

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baffling array of percentages and probabilities as we try to navigate in a world dominated by statistics.

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Hedge Hunters : picks: finance and investing the hedge fund...

Hedge Hunters : top 10 editor's picks: finance and investing

Hedge Hunters hedge fund industry's top managers have a penchant for high returns and low...

Author : Katherine Burton

for high returns and low profiles. The combination makes them a regular focus

Publisher : John Wiley and Sons

makes them a regular focus of the media, eager to know what makes

9780470885185

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9780470885185

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what makes them tick. Now, thanks to Katherine Burton, who's been covering these

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Rationality For Mortals : from the perspective of logic or...

Rationality for Mortals : of individuals not from the perspective

Rationality for Mortals or probability, but from the point of view of adaptation to the real world...

Author : Gerd Gigerenzer

of adaptation to the real world of human behavior and interaction with the environment.

Publisher : Oxford University Press

behavior and interaction with the environment. Seen from this perspective, human behavior is more

0199890129

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0199890129

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behavior is more rational than it might otherwise appear. This work is extremely influential

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Cognition As Intuitive Statistics : in psychology. where theories come from, as opposed...

Cognition as Intuitive Statistics : about theory construction in psychology. where theories come

Cognition as Intuitive Statistics from, as opposed to how they become established, was almost a no-man’s land...

Author : Gerd Gigerenzer, David J. Murray

was almost a no-man’s land in the history and philosophy of science at

Publisher : Psychology Press

and philosophy of science at the time. The authors argue that in the

1317362187

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1317362187

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in the science of mind, theories are particularly likely to come from tools,

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Modeling Bounded Rationality : by herbert simon; only recently has it...

Modeling Bounded Rationality : in the 1950s by herbert simon; only

Modeling Bounded Rationality has it influenced mainstream economics. In this book, Ariel Rubinstein defines models of bounded rationality as...

Author : Ariel Rubinstein

Ariel Rubinstein defines models of bounded rationality as those in which elements of the process of

Publisher : MIT Press

those in which elements of the process of choice are explicitly embedded. The book focuses on

9780262681001

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9780262681001

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embedded. The book focuses on the challenges of modeling bounded rationality, rather than on substantial economic

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Understanding Uncertainty : is interested in knowing and handling uncertainty.

Understanding Uncertainty : for everyone who is interested in knowing

Understanding Uncertainty handling uncertainty." —Journal of Applied Statistics The critically acclaimed First Edition of Understanding Uncertainty...

Author : Dennis V. Lindley

acclaimed First Edition of Understanding Uncertainty provided a study of uncertainty addressed to scholars

Publisher : John Wiley & Sons

study of uncertainty addressed to scholars in all fields, showing that uncertainty could be

1118650123

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1118650123

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uncertainty could be measured by probability, and that probability obeyed three basic rules that

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Beyond Blame : open, blameless way, is the best way for...

Beyond Blame : conducted in an open, blameless way, is the

Beyond Blame best way for IT techs and managers to learn from outages and...

Author : Dave Zwieback

learn from outages and near-misses. But when the "root cause" is determined

Publisher : "O'Reilly Media, Inc."

"root cause" is determined to be "human error" (or worse, particular humans),

1491914467

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1491914467

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humans), the real causes and conditions are lost. In this insightful book,

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The Fifth Risk : people given control over our...

The Fifth Risk : consequences if the people given

The Fifth Risk government have no idea how it works? "The election happened," remembers Elizabeth Sherwood-Randall, then deputy secretary of...

Author : Michael Lewis

election happened," remembers Elizabeth Sherwood-Randall, then deputy secretary of the Department of Energy. "And then there was

Publisher : W. W. Norton & Company

of the Department of Energy. "And then there was radio silence." Across all departments, similar stories were

1324002654

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1324002654

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Across all departments, similar stories were playing out: Trump appointees were few and far between; those that

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Adaptive Thinking : why do social scientists perform mindless...

Adaptive Thinking : is social intelligence? why do social

Adaptive Thinking mindless statistical rituals? This vital book is about rethinking rationality as adaptive thinking: to understand how...

Author : Gerd Gigerenzer

rethinking rationality as adaptive thinking: to understand how minds cope with their environments, both ecological and

Publisher : Oxford University Press

minds cope with their environments, both ecological and social. Gerd Gigerenzer proposes and illustrates a bold

0190286768

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0190286768

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proposes and illustrates a bold new research program that investigates the psychology of rationality, introducing the

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This Close To Happy : ...

This Close to Happy :

This Close to Happy ...

Author : Daphne Merkin

Publisher : Picador

9781250159298

ISBN

9781250159298

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Sweet Reckoning : to wendy higgins's sexy, thrilling sweet evil...

Sweet Reckoning : will be drawn to wendy higgins's sexy,

Sweet Reckoning Sweet Evil series. In Sweet Reckoning, the time has come for Anna, daughter...

Author : Wendy Higgins

has come for Anna, daughter of a guardian angel and a fallen one,

Publisher : HarperTeen

angel and a fallen one, to accept her fate as the chosen one.

9780062265975

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9780062265975

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chosen one. She is destined to rid the earth of demons once and

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House Reckoning : associate, on his deathbed succumbing to...

House Reckoning : a former mob associate, on his

House Reckoning to cancer, wants to make a confession about the killer in the continuation of the series...

Author : Michael Lawson, Mike Lawson

the killer in the continuation of the series following House Blood.

Publisher : Grove Press

following House Blood.

0802122531

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0802122531

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Essential Decision Making And Clinical Judgement For Nurses E-Book : effectively when exercising professional judgement and clinical decisions....

Essential Decision Making and Clinical Judgement for Nurses E-Book : to use information effectively when exercising professional judgement

Essential Decision Making and Clinical Judgement for Nurses E-Book and clinical decisions. By integrating theory with practical examples, it provides an...

Author : Carl Thompson, Dawn Dowding

examples, it provides an overview of the key issues facing nurses in

Publisher : Elsevier Health Sciences

issues facing nurses in decision making today. Review of up-to-date research into

0702042528

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0702042528

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into clinical professional judgement and decision making Focus on evidence and skills

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A Reckoning : of virginia, is already in debt when...

A Reckoning : the bottom corner of virginia, is already

A Reckoning debt when a Northern abolitionist arrives and creates havoc among the slaves. Determined to find his...

Author : Linda Spalding

havoc among the slaves. Determined to find his mother and daughter, who are already free in

Publisher : Pantheon

mother and daughter, who are already free in Canada, Bry is the first slave to flee,

1524747017

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1524747017

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the first slave to flee, and his escape inspires a dozen others. Soon, the farm, owned

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